Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 215.442844 242.161815 271.695019 306.899274 347.900782 394.362885 451.302540
2025-02-16 170.725431 205.013084 246.176537 299.775452 368.518664 454.822671 573.134379
2025-02-23 145.753051 182.654845 229.417773 294.036646 382.638345 502.331260 680.642397
2025-03-02 132.809554 172.380393 224.830354 301.056682 411.808557 571.497230 828.215640
2025-03-09 120.787005 161.294971 216.993811 301.405223 430.215274 626.709195 964.702200
2025-03-16 109.467136 149.645923 206.602266 296.021722 438.327887 666.350439 1083.002633
2025-03-23 101.805136 142.246666 201.238958 297.015259 455.737728 722.630097 1240.758894
2025-03-30 93.612412 133.200036 192.345925 291.138605 460.647550 757.911172 1366.955186
2025-04-06 87.549767 126.757288 186.697875 289.616391 472.333447 806.465097 1529.589756
2025-04-13 79.844761 117.134232 175.149228 276.893236 462.373054 812.914886 1605.560815
2025-04-20 77.514447 115.719739 176.562550 286.348102 493.825389 904.150048 1890.915932
2025-04-27 75.779500 115.076501 179.107773 297.956989 530.835460 1013.234110 2250.358820
2025-05-04 71.899605 110.719398 175.175282 297.650157 545.030566 1078.099797 2523.860451
2025-05-11 67.195472 104.668088 167.860200 290.294753 543.972030 1109.247468 2718.434520
2025-05-18 63.238567 99.602690 161.856337 284.790755 545.981567 1147.796543 2947.340377
2025-05-25 61.455511 98.136323 162.122894 291.538588 575.404280 1258.211144 3436.000805
2025-06-01 58.907308 95.147549 159.362241 291.873601 590.491598 1335.841760 3851.724452
2025-06-08 55.833531 91.026241 154.187786 286.698789 592.093619 1378.414292 4164.527159
2025-06-15 53.786760 88.618160 152.046049 287.653877 608.373526 1464.608460 4678.396297
2025-06-22 51.087289 84.859287 147.055074 282.004219 607.726466 1502.740087 5022.681128
2025-06-29 49.073998 82.248664 144.108299 280.540635 617.412260 1573.665907 5541.750250
2025-07-06 45.984807 77.473132 136.614500 268.304755 597.844849 1551.526524 5639.013400
2025-07-13 45.425296 77.418919 138.484089 277.397989 635.651889 1719.070763 6724.759252